U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE 95/07/26 DAILY PRESS BRIEFING
From: hristu@arcadia.harvard.edu (Dimitrios Hristu)
Subject: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE 95/07/26 DAILY PRESS BRIEFING
OFFICE OF THE SPOKESMAN
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
DAILY PRESS BRIEFING
I N D E X
Wednesday, July 26, l995
Briefers: Richard Holbrooke
Nicholas Burns
[...]
FORMER YUGOSLAVIA
NATO/NAC Meeting in Brussels ..............................2-3
Secretary's Conversations with UN Secretary General .......2,8-9,12
Dual-Key System ...........................................3-5,6
Necessity for Future NATO/NAC Meetings ....................5-6
Application of Rules of Engagement ........................6
Chain of Command Arrangements .............................6-7
UN Mission in Sarajevo ....................................9-10
Contact Group Meeting .....................................10
Possible Expansion of Conflict ............................10
Reported Bombing of Pale ..................................11
Russian Sanctions Against Serbs/Kozyrev Meetings in
Belgrade ................................................11-12
Dole Amendment--Arms Embargo ..............................13-14
Situation in Bihac ........................................7,12-16
[...]
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF STATE
DAILY PRESS BRIEFING
DPB #112
WEDNESDAY, JULY 27, 1995, 1:23 P. M.
(ON THE RECORD UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED)
[...]
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: The pleasure is all yours.
(Laughter) Whenever I am down here, you know it is really good news.
This is because Nick just can't handle the questions today, right?
I'll go directly to questions, but the reason Nick and I and the
Secretary thought I ought to come down here is simply the timing --
excuse me, I have a sore throat and I apologize in advance for my throat
-- the timing of the events in Brussels last night in regard to your
deadlines left some newspapers and some early editions in difficult
positions, and we just wanted to clarify again for you what happened in
Brussels last night and respond to any other questions you have.
At about 3:30 in the morning they adjourned this marathon session
in which, from our point of view, we got a satisfactory, very positive
outcome. The NAC reaffirmed and implemented the key decisions of
London. Some - excuse me - some newspapers' early editions didn't catch
up with the story and there are some questions you will undoubtedly have
with it. But it is important because, for reasons I fully understand
and probably would have done myself had I been in your shoes over the
last three days, there was a widespread concern that what had happened
in London was going to erode, and it was not an altogether easy
situation, but at the end of the day, in the middle of the night, there
was agreement among all sixteen NATO allies on the steps to be taken in
and around Gorazde and various other things. We still have a lot of
issues to resolve and work out. We are working through those now.
The Secretary of State has talked to Boutros Boutros-Ghali I
believe twice today -- is that correct, Nick -- twice today already, to
make sure that he understands the severity and importance of these
decisions and their absolute irreversibility from the point of view of
the United States and our NATO allies. And Boutros-Ghali will speak for
himself very shortly, but I cannot imagine that you won't find agreement
on these points.
Secondly, leaders in Europe, including the NATO Secretary General,
have had similar conversations with New York, and that's where we stand.
I'll be happy to take your questions. I know there are a lot of
other issues you may want to cover, including the situation in the
field.
Karen?
Q: How do you explain the disarray then from the end of the London
meeting until last night in Brussels? What happened? How did this so-
called consensus from Friday fall apart over the weekend?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: First of all, I didn't go to
London. I was grounded with an ear infection. Nick was there, as were
my Deputy and other colleagues. Peter Tarnoff went. But it was clear
following the process that it was high speed, limited time, a lot of
participants, a lot countries, a lot of ministers, and a general
consensus had to be worked out at operational terms by the organization
that really counts, NATO; the organization that will, if called upon,
carry out the air strikes.
I don't think that -- I don't dispute the question that there was
confusion. Maybe "disarray" is your word, not mine. Nice Newsweek
word. But the fact is that it was self-evident that a formal
organization would have to give a formal implementation mechanism to a
consensus agreed upon in an ad hoc and somewhat chaotic meeting in
London. And they met and they met and they met, and thirteen hours
seems like a long time, but I don't think it's excessive to forge a
sixteen nation consensus to prepare us for what would be, if it's
launched, the heaviest and most significant NATO military action in
history.
Q Where exactly do we stand on the dual key system? Is there
still one?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Well, first of all, I won't repeat
for you in detail my own personal views on the dual key, but you
understand that I think -- and I know this is a view shared by the
Secretary of State and my other colleagues -- that the dual key was a
terrible idea to begin with, and never should have been put into place.
It took two hugely important organizations, NATO and the U.N., with
incompatible missions and mandates and interlocked their decision-making
processes in a way that worked to the detriment of both.
Having said that, let me try to address your question, and bearing
in mind that we don't like the dual key and we would like to minimize
its effects, and here we get into some fairly complicated details. And
this is, by the way, one of the main reasons that we, Nick and I, wanted
to come out and chat with you today.
The civilian side of the dual key on the U.N. is no longer in place
in regard to the Gorazde and the area around Gorazde and threats to
Gorazde. That is a critical aspect of the NAC decisions.
From a United States point of view, we would like to eliminate the
civilian side of the dual key across the board in the war theater. And
we will continue to work for that.
Now, what about getting rid of the U.N. side of the key entirely?
It's a technicality, to be frank, because when you analyze the dual key,
who are the commanders? On the U.N. side, the senior commander in the
field is General Bernard Janvier of France, and the second man in the
chain of command is Major General Rupert Smith of the United Kingdom.
And we not only don't object to their participation in the process, no
military man one talks to, starting with General Shalikashvili and
General Joulwan would disagree with the fact that you cannot launch
sustained air strikes without coordinating it with the local on-the-
ground commanders responsible for the safety of the men, and you need to
coordinate, you need forward air controllers, you need all sorts of
technical things. So we - and I talked to Shali at length about this
before he went to London, and we went over the technical side of it. I
won't bore you with the details, but I can assure you that we ourselves
would want to coordinate closely with Janvier and Smith on the ground in
the event of NATO action.
There is a huge difference between coordinating with Janvier,
Smith, military to military, what we sometimes like to call the
Smith/Smith channel, because the NATO key is in the hands of Admiral
Leighton Smith in Naples, and a chain of command which goes back to Mr.
Akashi and to Secretary General Boutros-Ghali, and so on.
You know, you can have -- it can be all over on the ground while
people are trying to reach other on the telephone.
Q Mr. Holbrooke, you say that dual-key regarding Gorazde and the
areas around Gorazde, is no longer in place.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Yeah.
Q Then my understanding was that Willy Claes asked Boutros-
Ghali's endorsement of the NAC decision in regard to dual key. I don't
see how that jives with you saying it's no longer in place.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Well, I don't see any
contradiction. My understanding is Willy Claes informed the Secretary
(inaudible) NAC decision, as did the Secretary of State. I cannot
imagine that that is not now the implementing operational instructions
for the situation as it is covered by the NAC decision. I can't imagine
it.
Q But Boutros-Ghali's spokesman said --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: That's --
Q -- forty-five minutes or so ago that he is considering it, and
he'll make a decision -- or maybe you know something we don't about
Boutros-Ghali's decision.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: All I can tell you is that the
Secretary has talked to Boutros-Ghali twice today, and I repeat, I
cannot imagine that this will not be the operating instructions. It is
inconceivable to me. This is the NATO decision. The United States and
its NATO allies have made this decision. This is the rules of
engagement under which we believe we must operate, and that is how it's
going to be. And we will work out, we will close the gap. We will let
the policy process and the rhetoric catch up to the implementation of
procedures over the next few hours.
Betsy.
Q Richard, did you all work out the trigger mechanism, and did
you also decide whether NATO has to meet again in order to implement
this?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE:; The answer to the second question
is they do not have to meet again. That was a key point. One of the
reasons it took so long.
The trigger mechanism has been defined. I don't want to go into it
in detail. It's an operational matter, and I don't see any reason to
tell the Bosnian Serbs exactly what line they had better not pass, or
pass in an abstract way. But, I want to remind you that three senior
generals, General James Jamerson, the Deputy Commander in Chief, United
States Forces, Europe, headquartered at Stuttgart, and the British and
French colleagues went to parley on Sunday and after refusing a very
gracious offer for dinner and overnight accommodations from General
Mladic, chose to hand him an ultimatum, tell him it was a clear
statement of allied resolve, and after absorbing a bizarre lecture of
history according to General Mladic, left, and I assume that General
Mladic was under no misunderstanding as to what that meant. But if he
is under any misunderstanding, he can just pick up the phone and those
generals will clarify it.
Q Is there some lose ground in Brussels, post London, on the
question of where bombs in the event of an attack on Gorazde can be
dropped without referring back to the NAC?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Do you mean how wide the perimeter?
Q Yeah. My understanding is that you - that Brussels has now
decided that bombs may be dropped in the Gorazde theater, and perhaps
also in the event of anti-aircraft radar being --.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Or a threat to Gorazde, or a threat
to Gorazde.
Q But you can't bomb Pale or any other part of Bosnian Serb
territory now under this NAC agreement without going back to NAC, is
that right?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: That is one of the issues we are
still discussing, but - thank you - it's a very important issue. Before
coming in here, and because I assumed somebody would ask this question,
I checked with those of my colleagues who were in London, and I said,
"Somebody is going to ask this question, probably Ensor." And I said,
look, there was a pin-down in London, and nobody who was there believes
that this was completely agreed on in London, and therefore it does not
-- and I really want to stress this, David, it does not represent an
erosion of the one in the agreements. It was an issue. Nick, you may
certainly interrupt me, if you want, because you there, but my
understanding is that this was an issue that was not completely resolved
in London, that was not addressed yesterday in the NAC, but let me be
clear on the United States position on this. We believe that the rules
of engagement that we are now applying to the Gorazde area should be
applied nation-wide, and we are going to continue, in fact we are at
this moment continuing to work towards that goal.
We've made a lot of progress in the last 24 hours with a very
strong performance from our combined civilian-military team with Bob
Hunter and General Montgomery in NATO, and we are going to continue to
pursue that point. It's a very important point.
Q Can I return to the dual key briefly. In London the
impression was left that the U.S. at least wanted to insist that the
U.N. military side be in Sarajevo and not Zagreb. Are you happy now
that Janvier is in the mix?
Q It's a - you're absolutely correct that that was our going-in
position. Upon analysis, it turns out to be a distinction without a
difference. General Shalikashvili and his colleagues -- and I happen to
agree with this, having spent a lot of time working with the military
since 1963 in Vietnam -- believed that the question of the level of the
chain of command is not a critical issue.
Janvier is Rupert Smith's direct command -- superior commanding
officer, and we don't need to say that it has to be Rupert Smith versus
Bernard Janvier. That is a military chain of command, and anyone in
those military knows how important it is to respect that. And Shali did
not think we should make an issue of it. I supported that. The
Secretary supported it. It was a - I stress, because we spent a lot of
time on it, it is a distinction without a difference. The important
thing is the civilians and the dual-key.
Q Isn't the Secretary and other people who are talking to
Boutros-Ghali telling him about a fait accompli by NATO on the command-
and-control arrangements, or are you requesting his agreement, anything?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: We're informing him of the NATO
decision.
Tim.
Q It seems that there is significantly more agreement on
Gorazde now, but, and the area of concern is Bihac.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: It sure is.
Q I'm just wondering whether -- can you give us just an update
on your view of whether Bihac is in danger of falling and --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: I think David raised that question.
Oh -- well, first of all, I want to repeat in answer to the first part
of your question, we want it extended to cover all of Bosnia.
Q And which agreement do you have to issue a similar ultimatum
about Bihac? Obviously, that's a --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: We don't have an agreement on that,
but we have a clear American position, and we're working towards it. As
for the danger of Bihac falling, the fighting is significant in the
Bihac pocket, south of the Bihac pocket, between Livno and Bosanska
Grahovo, I think. I apologize. It's a town north of Livno.
There is also fighting along the range to the south, Kupres and
Bornji Vakuf, and I do not -- it would be ill advised of me to give you
a military assessment. The intelligence reports I've had this morning
are running way behind. The journalists are reporting more rapidly, and
the situation is confused.
My instinct is that it's not in imminent danger of falling, but
don't hold me to that.
Q Just to follow-up. What's the possibility that Tudjman will
get in and this will kind of confuse the war even more? That he'll
either decide that it's a danger to him --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: They're very high.
Q -- or take the chance of an opportunity --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Very high.
Betsy.
Q How much opposition are you reaching in trying to get this
follow-on part of the policy through?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: I can't characterize it. It's an
ongoing dialogue, and I think our position has such obvious merit based
on the objective realities of the situation around Sarajevo, Tuzla and
Bihac that I think we will continue to make progress.
I know it sounds very strange to say this in light of the
situation, which is undeniably critical, but I feel that in this narrow
area that we've been discussing for the last 15 minutes, there has been
a significant step forward towards allied unity in the last 24 hours,
and I anticipate more in the next 48 hours. That is not in any way,
shape or form to deny the importance of the danger inherent in
situations like the ones Tim's questions addressed.
Q Your comment, "we're informing Boutros-Ghali of the NATO
decision" -- I thought I understood what was going on, and now I know I
don't. (Laughter) Are you saying that NATO is going forward with its
plan regardless of what Boutros-Ghali has to say? That we've informed
him this is what we're doing, and we're doing it.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Let's just see what Boutros-Ghali
says.
Q Okay. Then to follow up, would you take exception to the
conclusion that Boutros-Ghali has informed the Secretary of State that
he will approve the plan?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Say that again?
Q Would you take exception --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: This is too complicated for me.
There are too many double negatives in there. (Laughter) Let's do it
again.
Q Would you take exception to one drawing the conclusion that
Boutros-Ghali told the Secretary of State in these two conversations --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Nick, you do this for a living?
(Laughter) Would you take exception to drawing the conclusion --
Q All right. I'll say it --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Just do it. You know, I'm just a -
-
Q Did Boutros-Ghali tell Warren Christopher that he has
approved the NAC plan from last week?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: I don't want to characterize a
private conversation between the Secretary of State with the Secretary
General. (Laughter) I will just repeat to you, it's inconceivable to
me that this decision can be misunderstood, and let's wait for Boutros-
Ghali to make his formal announcement. He understands what the decision
was.
MR. BURNS: We have time for two more questions. Someone might
want to ask one on Turkey.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: I love Turkey. Please ask about
Turkey. (Laughter) How about NATO enlargement?
Q I want to ask about Sarajevo. The commanders of the Rapid
Reaction Force have said that this new deployment on Mt. Igman is not to
secure that road but only to protect convoys -- U.N. convoys traveling
up and down. In the last three weeks, an average of six people have
been killed every day in Sarajevo as a result of shelling. Are you
satisfied with the U.N. mission in Sarajevo, given that the weapons
exclusion zone has completely collapsed and that there appears to be no
plans even to secure the Mt. Igman road, according to the commanders of
this force?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Of course, we're not satisfied with
the U.N. performance. We are encouraged by the recent actions -- much
more aggressive -- taken by the Rapid Reaction Force and led
particularly by the French and supported by the British and the Dutch.
You're describing correctly what I hope will be a work in progress
towards a deployment and an aggressiveness and a strength of the U.N. in
the Mt. Igman-Sarajevo area, which I at least believe is three years
overdue.
Let them do it. They have finally gotten there. They've got long
guns, 17.5 kilometer range instead of 5 kilometers. They can fire back.
The rules of engagement are changing, and we strongly encourage that.
Lest there be any misunderstanding on this -- because there's been so
much unsourced background sniping about the French and the Americans --
we support what the French are doing. We think the French are on the
right track, and we're very positive towards President Chirac and the
leadership he showed here.
The issue you're describing is one that we hope there will be
further movement on for exactly the reasons implicit in your question.
MR. BURNS: Okay, the last question.
Q Do we think all this is aimed towards getting some kind of
diplomatic process going? Can you just update us on how close --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Bob Frasure is in a Contact Group
meeting right now with Carl Bildt.
Q Are they discussing a plan that's acceptable to anybody or --
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: They're discussing Bildt's
negotiations with Milosevic. I think I've got to hold on that, Tim, but
Nick and I will try to get back to you later in the day.
I'm sorry, you didn't get a chance to ask a question.
Q With the fall of Zepa, in your view, has the likelihood of a
wider war -- the war spreading -- has that increased? I mean, this has
been a concern obviously of U.S. officials.
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: The danger of a wider war is
increasing but not because of the fall of Zepa; because of the question
Tim raised earlier, that's the danger. We've talked about this a lot in
the past. The policies in Bosnia have been frustrating and nobody could
get up and say they've been successful. But there have been successes
in limited areas. A lot of people were fed. The level of violence went
way down until the last few weeks. There was a strengthening of the
people situation in many areas of the country, and the war was kept out
of the neighboring area.
That last point is one that we are intensely worried about right
now, and that's why I answered Tim's question earlier the way I did.
Q Can I ask just one factual question? Was Pale bombed from
the air the other day?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: I have no idea. (Laughter) We
didn't. We didn't bomb it.
Q Did anybody?
ASSISTANT SECRETARY HOLBROOKE: Je ne sais -- excuse me.
(Laughter) You'll have to ask the people who are accused of doing it.
I have no idea.
(Assistant Secretary Holbrooke concluded at 1:47 p.m., at which
time Spokesman Nicholas Burns began the Daily Press Briefing.)
MR. BURNS: Thank you very much to Dick Holbrooke. The Secretary
is going to be available at 2:30 for a photo opportunity before his
meeting with the South Korean Foreign Minister, Minister Gong, and so he
will be available to answer a limited number of questions on any subject
that you would care to discuss with him.
What I'd like to do is limit ourselves here, if we can, in
continuing this briefing to about 20 or 25 minutes, if we have to go
that long. We can do more Bosnia if you want or we can get on to other
issues. Are there any more questions on Bosnia? Have we finished
Bosnia?
Q One more. Have you heard anything from the Russians that
threatens their lifting sanctions unilaterally against Serbia if the
Congress goes through with its plan to lift U.S. sanctions on Bosnia?
MR. BURNS: No, we have not. In fact, we have been in touch with
the Russians twice over the last 24 hours. Most recently, I understand,
President Yeltsin sent a message to President Clinton on Minister
Kozyrev's trip to Belgrade. We believe that Minister Kozyrev
communicated effectively to the Bosnian Serb leadership and to the
leadership in Belgrade that the London Conference meant what it said;
that the nations assembled there have delivered an ultimatum to the
Bosnian Serb military leadership, and that it should be heeded.
I'm not, of course, attempting to say that Minister Kozyrev or the
Russian Government agrees on everything in that ultimatum or that the
Russians want to associate themselves with the possibility of
airstrikes. I think the Russians have been very clear they do not agree
with that, but we believe that Minister Kozyrev did effectively
represent the message that came out of London, and we are thankful to
him for that.
Q A follow-up on the Russians. There's a wire story that moved
just before the briefing that Kozyrev got a promise from the Bosnian
Serbs that they would not attack Gorazde. Have you gotten that from the
Russians?
MR. BURNS: I saw the same wire story. I did not have that from
the briefing that we had. If that is true, if in effect the Bosnian
Serbs have agreed not to attack Gorazde, that's very good news. But we
do have concerns about the other enclaves.
One of the sentences that you should pay particular attention to in
Willy Claes' press briefing last evening was a sentence that essentially
said that the NATO countries had agreed yesterday that one of the things
that they would do would look into planning for possible operations on
the other safe areas, including Bihac, and especially Bihac; that having
taken a decision now only on Gorazde, that NATO should begin planning
for the possibility of operations in other areas.
That was a very clear decision that came out of NATO; and, as Dick
Holbrooke said, we were very gratified to see that because we have been
pushing that point all along, including before the London Conference,
that we had to be concerned with what happened in the other enclaves.
But I do want to be clear that the decision yesterday only pertained to
Gorazde. Should we entertain other possible actions concerning the
other enclaves, we'd have to go back to the NAC -- the North Atlantic
Council in Brussels.
Q Nick, the second conversation between Boutros-Ghali and
Warren Christopher -- who initiated that call?
MR. BURNS: Secretary Christopher initiated that call.
Q So he initiated both calls.
MR. BURNS: That's right. More on Bosnia? Any more on Bosnia?
Tim?
Q Two things. One, is it the U.S. view that if Bihac falls --
I mean, it was often said that if Gorazde falls that would be the end of
UNPROFOR. Is it our view that if Bihac falls, that could easily trigger
the end of UNPROFOR?
MR. BURNS: Tim, we've said clearly and publicly that if Gorazde
falls -- not to speak of Bihac, but including Bihac -- it would likely
represent a decisive blow against UNPROFOR. UNPROFOR has failed in its
mission to protect two enclaves. The decision taken at London and
confirmed by the North Atlantic Council last night represents the
determination of the United States and its partners to try to make sure
that other enclaves do not fall. We can't see how the United Nations
would continue if a number of others -- including Gorazde with 60,000
people, Bihac with over 200,000 people -- would fall. So I think it
applies to both, not just Bihac.
Q Just one other thing on the arms embargo. Given the revised
stipulations in the legislation in front of the Senate regarding U.N.
withdrawal and exemptions that the President can -- or the extensions
the President can take. I mean, why does the arms embargo vote really
matter? I mean, it doesn't really seem to have very much practical
effect. Why is it so important?
MR. BURNS: It's very important because the intent -- if the vote
is a majority vote for the unilateral lift, it would represent a view by
at least one branch of the United States Government that we ought to
leave the area; that having encountered a number of very serious
problems, we should just give up and go home. We think that that would
have the opposite effect.
It would in effect Americanize the war. It would require the
introduction of at least 25,000 American troops, and it would leave our
allies without the support of the United States. So it would have a
decisive effect, and that's why we're arguing against it today as the
Senate debates the bill.
Q It stipulates lift only if the U.N. 12 weeks after either the
Bosnians call for the U.N. to leave or the U.N. does leave -- no one
really imagines, I don't think, that once the U.N. leaves, the arms
embargo will stay on Bosnia. So I guess it's just not clear to me why
there's a practical concern. It's symbolic and important for that
sense, but I don't really see that it will have a practical effect on
it.
MR. BURNS: The problem with that finely crafted language is that
our allies have said that that essentially doesn't make a difference.
Our allies would see it as one step towards the United States pulling
the rug out from underneath them, and they have advanced that message to
us just in the last 24 hours, as well as the last couple of months, as
people began to see this amendment as being a possibility.
David.
Q Do you have any sense from the White House as to when the
President will veto the legislation, assuming it passes today? Is he
going to send it right back?
MR. BURNS: I don't. I think that's a question really for the
White House to answer, David, but I think nobody should mistake the will
of the President or the Secretary here. The Secretary has been in touch
once again this morning with the Senate leadership to make those views
very, very clear.
Q New subject?
MR. BURNS: Yes.
Q Filing break --
MR. BURNS: Yes. There was a call for a filing break.
Q One more --
MR. BURNS: One more question on Bosnia.
Q Isn't there a danger that you've drawn the wrong line by
putting all this attention on Gorazde -- now apparently gotten a promise
from the Serbs not to attack Gorazde while in fact the current --
according to U.N. observers, the most heavy fighting in well over a year
in all of Bosnia is taking place around Bihac now; 8,000 thousand
civilians are on the run; the Serbs are in the position to cut the
pocket in two.
Shouldn't Bihac be the place where you're drawing the line rather
than Gorazde?
MR. BURNS: Let's remember why the London Conference was called.
It was called by the British Government because the British Government
saw after the fall of Srebrenica and the likely fall of Zepa that the
next target of Mladic was going to be Gorazde in eastern Bosnia, to
effectively cut off all of eastern Bosnia from Bosnian Government
control and to wipe it out.
That was the reason why the London Conference was called. That was
the decision that had to be made by the conferees at London, but I would
just point you to the statement last night by the NATO Secretary
General, in which he specifically said that they had talked about Bihac
yesterday for all the reasons that you cited: that the fighting is the
most critical there; it's certainly the largest offensive that we've
seen in the last year, and that NATO countries unanimously agreed
yesterday that we ought to begin planning for a contingency operation,
should that become necessary.
It would not be automatic. It would mean we'd have to go back to a
NAC. I want to be clear about that. But for the reasons you've cited,
Bihac was discussed both in London but most particularly yesterday in
Brussels, and I wouldn't take issue with anything you've said. The
situation in Bihac is critically important. It is by all accounts one
of the most important points for the Bosnian Government in a military
sense as well.
Q Can I follow on that?
MR. BURNS: Yes.
Q I mean, how quickly will this happen? I mean, Srebrenica
fell because everyone got excited about it once it was almost too late.
Are we calling a NAC meeting on Bihac? Are we calling for a Washington
conference to implement this? How fast do you expect NATO to agree on
this?
MR. BURNS: There's a system of coordination -- we like to call it
military coordination; you might call it dual-key -- in place that would
require the U.N. commanders on the ground to give NATO a sense of when
they want to request NATO air power.
That was done in the case of Srebrenica. Because of the Byzantine,
labyrinthine dual-key system that was in place, the request finally was
-- the key was turned by the United Nations at the very last moment,
which made the NATO jets operations almost useless at the last moment.
If the U.N. commanders in Bihac request NATO air power, NATO
through the North Atlantic Council can meet overnight, they can meet
within half an hour to discuss the situation. But we do need to have a
request from the U.N. people in Bihac.
Right now there is significant involvement of the Croatian army in
the fighting, which many observers believe will make a decisive
difference. It is also very chaotic fighting, so we do not yet have a
request of NATO from the United Nations.
Q You didn't in Gorazde, to draw a line around Gorazde. Why
wasn't that?
MR. BURNS: We certainly did. We certainly had a request to see if
NATO could make a difference. The French Government suggested that the
answer was to reinforce the garrison in Gorazde through an additional
contingent of French troops. The United States suggested a deployment
of air power, which was the decision that was finally taken. So we
certainly had a number of major troop-contributing countries come
forward and say, "We need now to engage NATO in Gorazde, because it's
the likely next target in eastern Bosnia."
I'm just saying that we formally have not had any request from the
United Nations, as far as I'm aware, for that kind of NATO decision in
Bihac. It's possible that we might in the future, and, if we do, we
will consider it. If you look at the language and the way it is
written, it's fairly strong language that NATO should begin now to plan
for that contingency. We can't allow ourselves to drop the subject and
not plan for a contingency that may become reality, not just in Bihac
but in any of the remaining enclaves.
(The briefing concluded at 2:l0 p.m.)
END
|