[01] Nea rekor gia to petrelaio

Xqes to argo ekleise sth Nea Yorkh sta 133,17 dolaria kaqws mesa se mia hmera anebhke kata 4,10 dolaria, enw espase diadoxika kai se liges wres ta "fragmata" twn 130, 131, 132, 133 kai 134 dolariwn to bareli fqanontas ws ta 134,10 dolaria sth Nea Yorkh kai to Mprent ta 133,47 dolaria sto Londino

To argo jeperase gia prwth fora ta 100 dolaria stis 2 Ianoyarioy kai sth synexeia jekinhse mia frenhrh poreia pernwntas ta 110 dolaria ton Martio, ta 120 dolaria stis 5 Maioy kai ta 125 dolaria stis 9 Maioy.

To amerikaniko ypoyrgeio Energeias anakoinwse xqes meiwsh twn strathgikwn apoqematwn petrelaioy kata 5,4 ekatommyria barelia kai ths benzinhs kata 800.000 barelia.

H frenhrhs poreia twn timwn toy petrelaioy synista sobarh apeilh pleon gia thn pagkosmia anaptyjh , proeidopoioyn oi analytes poy ekfrazoyn pantws elpides oti syntoma h agora qa "hremhsei".

Apo ton perasmeno Septembrio, h timh toy argoy exei ayjhqei kata 50 dolaria to bareli en mesw ektimhsewn oti mporei na ftasei kai ta 200 dolaria se 6 ews 24 mhnes.

"To senario ayto qetei se kindyno thn pagkosmia oikonomikh anaptyjh" ektima o anejarthtos oikonomologos Ent Giarnteni, prosqetontas oti "h pio piqanh synepeia qa eijai mia pagkosmia epibradynsh ths oikonomias".

H apogeiwsh twn timwn toy mayroy xrysoy "plhttei thn pagkosmia oikonomia poy einai shmera poly perissotero eyalwth apo o,ti sth diarkeia twn prohgoymenwn petrelaikwn krisewn" shmeiwnei o analyths Hqan Xaris ths Lehman Brothers.

Symfwna me ton Xaris, kaqe ayjhsh kata 10 dolaria ths timhs toy petrelaioy isodynamei me ypoxwrhsh kata 0,4% ths amerikanikhs anaptyjhs kai kata ti ligotero sthn Asia kai sthn Eyrwph.

Poioi logoi odhghsan thn timh toy argoy panw apo ta 135 dolaria to bareli

H megalh zhthsh kai h ejasqenhsh toy dolarioy exoyn pyrodothsei kalpasmo twn timhs toy petrelaioy apo thn ypoxwrhsh ths katw apo ta 50 dolaria to bareli stis arxes toy 2007.

Se apoplhqwrismenes times, h timh toy amerikanikoy elafroy argoy kymainetai pleon panw apo to rekor twn 101,70 dolariwn to bareli, to opoio shmeiwqhke ton Aprilio toy 1980, ena mhna meta thn Islamikh Epanastash sto Iran, opws shmeiwnei h Dieqnhs Yphresia Energeias.

Polloi einai oi paragontes poy odhghsan se ayth thn ejelijh:

H ejasqenhsh toy dolarioy

H ptwsh ths ajias toy dolarioy enanti allwn megalwn nomismatwn exei symbalei sthn ayjhsh twn topoqethsewn se emporeymata, kaqws oi ependytes qewroyn tis ependyseis se dolaria sxetika fqhnes. Exei, parallhla, meiwsei thn agorastikh isxy twn esodwn toy OPEK apo petrelaio kai exei ayjhsei thn agorastikh isxy orismenwn katanalwtwn ektos dolarioy.

Oi ypoyrgoi Petrelaioy toy OPEK exoyn shmeiwsei oti, an kai oi onomastikes times exoyn anelqei se epipeda rekor, o plhqwrismos kai to dolario exoyn apalynei ton antiktypo. Merida analytwn yposthrizei oti ependytes xrhsimopoioyn to petrelaio ws antistaqmisma sto ejasqenhmeno dolario.

O rolos twn ependytikwn tameiwn

Apo tote poy h Omospondiakh Trapeza twn HPA proxwrhse sta mesa toy perasmenoy Aygoystoy se meiwsh twn epitokiwn kai oi kentrikes trapezes dioxeteysan disekatomyria dolaria stis xrhmatooikonomikes agores gia na antimetwpisoyn thn krisimh katastash sthn opoia breqhke h pistwtikh agora, exoyn katagracei anodo oi times toy petrelaioy kai toy xrysoy.

Oi eisroes kefalaiwn apo ta syntajiodotika tameia kai ta hedge funds sta emporeymata, toy petrelaioy symperilambanomenoy, exoyn entaqei. Omoiws exoyn entaqei kai oi kerdoskopikes synallages. Taytoxrona, h pagkosmia pistwtikh stenothta exei ferei orismenes agores se pragmatikh stasimothta. Meros twn kefalaiwn apo aytes tis agores dioxeteyetai sthn energeia kai se emporeymata, opws yposthrizoyn analytes.

H zhthsh gia petrelaio

An kai oi prohgoymenes koryfwseis twn timwn pyrodothqhkan apo diakopes sthn trofodosia ths pagkosmias energeiakhs agoras, h zhthsh apo tis megalyteres katanalwtries xwres toy planhth, tis HPA kai thn Kina, einai o basikos kinhthrios moxlos toy shmerinoy kalpasmoy toys.

O ryqmos ayjhshs ths pagkosmias zhthshs epibradynqhke meta thn ektinajh toy 2004, alla h tash ejakoloyqei na einai anodikh, para thn epibradynsh toy ryqmoy oikonomikhs anaptyjhs sth megalyterh katanalwtria xwra toy planhth, tis HPA. Pros to paron, oi ychloteres times toy petrelaioy exoyn periorismeno antiktypo sthn anaptyjh ths oikonomias.

Analytes yposthrizoyn oti o kosmos antepejerxetai stis ychles onomastikes times giati, se prosarmosmenh bash se sxesh me tis synallagmatikes isotimies kai ton plhqwrismo, oi times paramenoyn xamhloteres apo o,ti kata th diarkeia prohgoymenwn koryfwsewn kai orismenes oikonomies exoyn ejelixqei se oikonomies ligoterhs entashs energeias.

O periorismos ths prosforas apo ton OPEK

O OPEK, phgh anw toy enos tritoy toy pagkosmioy petrelaioy, exei arxisei, apo ta telh toy 2006, na meiwnei thn paragwgh toy, ws metro anasxeshs ths ptwshs twn timwn stis dieqneis agores.

H eisodos sthn pagkosmia energeiakh agora ligoterwn bareliwn petrelaioy apo ton OPEK synetelese sthn pyrodothsh toy kalpasmoy twn timwn kai oi katanalwtries xwres, me ekfrasth th Dieqnh Yphresia Energeias, protrepoyn to kartel na antlhsei perissotero petrelaio.

Stis synanthseis, se ypoyrgiko epipedo apo ton Dekembrioy toy 2007 mexri shmera, o OPEK diathrhse ametablhta ta epipeda paragwghs toy, yposthrizontas oti yparxoy eparkeis posothtes sthn agora. H epomenh synanthsh toy dieqnoys organismoy einai stis 9 Septembrioy.

H prosfora argoy apo th Nighria, th megalyterh petrelaioejagwgo xwra ths Afrikhs, exei meiwqei apo to Febroyario toy 2006, logw twn epiqesewn antartwn sthn petrelaikh biomhxania ths xwras.

Oi petrelaikes etairies anaferoyn oti peripoy 559.000 barelia nighrianoy argoy thn hmera "apoysiazoyn" apo thn pagkosmia energeiakh agora, logw twn epiqesewn antartwn kai twn prajewn doliofqoras.

Oi katanalwtes petrelaioy anhsyxoyn gia to endexomeno diakophs ths prosforas petrelaioy apo to Iran, thn tetarth megalyterh petrelaioejagwgo xwra toy planhth, h opoia einai egklwbismenh se diamaxh me th Dysh sxetika me to pyrhniko programma ths Texeranhs.

Oi Dytikes kybernhseis ypociazontai oti to Iran xrhsimopoiei to pyrhniko programma gia paragwgh energeias ws prokalymma gia thn anaptyjh atomikoy oplostasioy. To Iran arneitai kati tetoio, legontas oti xreiazetai pyrhnikes egkatastaseis gia thn paragwgh hlektrikhs energeias.

To Irak dyskoleyetai sthn prospaqeia na orqopodhsei h petrelaikh biomhxania ths xwras, meta apo dekaeties polemwn, kyrwsewn kai katwterwn twn apaitoymenwn ependysewn.

Staqeropoioyntai oi ejagwges argoy apo ta pedia antlhshs toy Kirkoyk, sto boreio tmhma ths xwras, kaqws to systhma anakamptei apo ta texnika problhmata ta opoia eixan katasthsei, ws epi to pleiston, anenergo ton petrelaiagwgo apo th eisbolh twn amerikano-bretanikwn dynamewn sto Irak, to Martio toy 2003.

Stenothta sta diylisthria

H periorismenh ayjhsh ths paragwgikhs dynamikothtas sth biomhxania diylishs twn megalwn katanalwtriwn xwrwn, opws twn HPA, brisketai en merei pisw apo thn anodo twn timwn toy petrelaioy stis dieqneis agores. Perysi, h Dieqnhs Yphresia Energeias proebh sthn ektimhsh oti h prosqeth paragwgikh dynamikothta ston tomea ths diylishs pagkosmiws mesa sta epomena pente xronia qa einai katwterh twn prohgoymenwn prosdokiwn, kaqws h ayjhsh toy kostoys kai h elleich mhxanikwn exei ws apotelesma thn kaqysterhsh sthn kataskeyh newn monadwn diylishs.

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