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RFE/RL Newsline, Vol. 5, No. 171, 01-09-10Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Newsline Directory - Previous Article - Next ArticleFrom: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty <http://www.rferl.org>RFE/RL NEWSLINEVol. 5, No. 171, 10 September 2001CONTENTS[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA
[B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE
[C] END NOTE
[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA[01] ARMENIAN OPPOSITION PARTIES DEMAND PRESIDENT'S IMPEACHMENT...As anticipated (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 7 September 2001), on7 September the leaders of the People's Party of Armenia, Hanrapetutiun, and the National Accord Front issued a joint statement calling for the impeachment of President Robert Kocharian, whom they accuse of violating the Armenian Constitution, condoning terrorism, and precipitating the country into a deep political, moral, psychological, and socioeconomic crisis, RFE/RL's Yerevan bureau reported. The statement also repeated earlier allegations that Kocharian sought to sabotage the investigation into the October 1999 parliament shootings in order to prevent the identity of the organizers from becoming known. The joint statement was read by Artashes Geghamian, a leading member of the AHCh, at Hanrapetutiun's first congress in Yerevan at which one of the party's leaders, former Yerevan Mayor Albert Bazeyan, declared that "the removal of the Kocharian regime and the formation of a legitimate government is the main precondition for the development of our country." Bazeyan stressed, however, that Kocharian's ouster must be accomplished "by constitutional means." LF [02] ...CONVINCING HIM TO SEEK RE-ELECTIONVisiting a Yerevanfactory on 8 September, Kocharian announced that the opposition statement released the previous day had served to demolish his earlier doubts over whether to seek re-election in 2003, and that he has made up his mind to do so, RFE/RL's Yerevan bureau reported. Kocharian criticized the opposition's challenge as "filled with malice," adding that "people with so much malice endanger the country by seeking [to come to] power." LF [03] ARMENIAN PRESIDENT OUTLINES PRIORITIESDuring an Internetforum on 7 September moderated by the Russian electronic daily gazeta.sng, Kocharian listed as his top priority creating "an economically strong Armenia," RFE/RL's Yerevan bureau reported. But he acknowledged that it will not be possible to achieve that objective without large-scale foreign investment, according to Noyan Tapan. Kocharian claimed that the economic climate has improved markedly over the past two to three years, although he admitted that many people have not yet experienced an improvement in their living conditions. Kocharian stressed the importance for all three South Caucasus states of ending ongoing conflicts. He also said Armenia supports any steps aimed at establishing civilized and good-neighborly relations with Turkey, Noyan Tapan reported. LF [04] AZERBAIJAN, RUSSIA TO SIGN AGREEMENT ON CONTROVERSIAL RADARFACILITYDuring talks in Moscow on 7 September, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov and his visiting Azerbaijani counterpart Colonel General Safar Abiev succeeded in narrowing outstanding differences over the terms and duration for which Russia's radar facility at Gabala in Azerbaijan will continue to operate, Russian agencies reported. The two sides will sign an agreement formalizing those conditions during President Heidar Aliev's upcoming visit to Moscow, which is planned for late November. Ivanov told journalists that it does not make sense to extend the lease for Gabala only for a period of three to five years, as Baku has proposed, according to AP. Russia wants the lease extended for 20 to 25 years. Ivanov also said a joint Azerbaijani- Russian commission has evaluated, and is inclined to reject, allegations that the radar station poses a serious ecological hazard. Ivanov also told journalists after his meeting with Abiev that Russia is ready to help modernize Azerbaijan's Soviet-era military hardware and to train Azerbaijani servicemen "on easy terms." Abiev for his part said agreement was reached on cooperation between the two countries' air defense systems, Turan reported. LF [05] AZERBAIJANI SECURITY MINISTER ENDS VISIT TO IRANNamigAbbasov returned to Baku on 8 September after meeting in Tehran on 6 September with Iranian President Mohammad Khattami, Turan reported. Khattami affirmed his conviction that "with understanding and mutual respect," it will prove possible to resolve all contentious issues between the five Caspian littoral states without infringing on their legitimate interests. He also expressed satisfaction over the visit, scheduled for 17 September, of President Aliev. An Azerbaijani delegation made up of several government ministers and oil and transport sector officials arrived in Tehran on 8 September to prepare for that visit, during which a total of 10 agreements are to be signed, according to ITAR- TASS. LF [06] GEORGIAN PARLIAMENT CHAIRMAN OFFERS TO RESIGNFollowing thefailure of the majority Union of Citizens of Georgia (SMK) parliament faction to elicit support for an open letter to President Eduard Shevardnadze calling for more effective measures to counter corruption (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 31 August 2001), parliament speaker Zurab Zhvania offered to resign if 100 of the total 235 parliament deputies sign a statement calling on him to do so, Caucasus Press reported on 7 September. Both opposition and SMK deputies rejected that proposal (see "RFE/RL Caucasus Report," Vol. 4, No. 31, 10 September 2001). LF [07] FORMER GEORGIAN COMMUNIST PARTY BOSS FORMS NEW POLITICALALLIANCEDjumber Patiashvili, who in 1985 succeeded Shevardnadze as first secretary of the Communist Party of Georgia and ran unsuccessfully against him in the presidential elections of 1995 and 2000, has joined forces with Aleksandre Chachia, who in 1999 headed a political party intended to revive the west Georgian region of Mingrelia (see "RFE/RL Caucasus Report," Vol. 2, No. 13, 31 March 1999), to form the Unity alliance, Caucasus Press reported. Patiashvili was elected chairman at the movement's founding congress in Tbilisi on 7 September. He told journalists its objectives are restoring Georgia's territorial integrity and promoting social equality. LF [08] OSCE TO EXPAND MONITORING OF GEORGIA'S BORDERS WITH NORTHCAUCASUSThe OSCE has agreed "in principle" to a request by the Georgian government to deploy observers on Georgia's borders with Daghestan and Ingushetia, in addition to those who since early last year have been posted along Georgia's border with Chechnya, but the technical issues involved have not yet been resolved, AP quoted Georgian Foreign Ministry spokesman Kakha Sikharulidze as telling journalists in Tbilisi on 7 September (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 1 March 2001). Also on 7 September, new accommodation for the OSCE monitors on the Georgian-Chechen border was opened in the village of Shatili. LF [09] AUDIT CHAMBER DETAILS FINANCIAL MISMANAGEMENT IN GEORGIANDEFENSE MINISTRYFollowing an audit of the Georgian Defense Ministry's financial transactions during the first six months of this year, the press service of Georgia's Audit Chamber said on 7 September that the ministry currently owes some 42.7 million laris ($20.6 million), including 17.3 million laris in wage arrears, Caucasus Press reported. Defense Minister Davit Tevzadze told a parliament committee on 6 September that the armed forces need a minimum of 71 million laris ($34.3 million) in funding for 2002 (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 7 September 2001). Parliament deputy Koba Amirkhanishvili said the same day he will resign his mandate if the Finance Ministry does not accede to that demand, "Akhali taoba" reported on 7 September. LF [10] GEORGIA REGISTERS 5 PERCENT GDP GROWTHGeorgia's GDPincreased by 5.4 percent during the first six months of 2001 compared with the corresponding period for last year, Caucasus Press reported on 7 September, but industrial output during the period January-July 2001 fell by 2.6 percent compared with 2000. LF [11] OSCE QUERIES LEGALITY OF SENTENCE ON FORMER KAZAKH PREMIERThe OSCE office in Kazakhstan issued a statement in Almaty on7 September expressing doubt that the jail sentence handed down the previous day to former Prime Minister Akezhan Kazhegeldin conforms to international standards of justice, Russian agencies reported. Kazhegeldin was sentenced in absentia to 10 years imprisonment on charges of abuse of office, tax evasion, taking bribes, and illegal possession of weapons (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 6 September 2001). The OSCE noted that trying a defendant in absentia may violate the principle of equality before the law, and that "there are certain doubts" that the presumption of innocence was fully observed during the trial. LF [12] IMPRISONED FORMER KYRGYZ OFFICIAL TAKES LEGAL ACTION AGAINSTPRESIDENTFormer Kyrgyz Vice President and opposition Ar- Namys Party leader Feliks Kulov has brought a lawsuit against President Askar Akaev and is demanding that the president publish an apology for branding him as a person who "disappointed him" and "who loved power too much," RFE/RL's Bishkek bureau reported on 8 September. That characterization appears in Akaev's book "The Memorable Decade," which was formally launched on 24 August. Kulov was sentenced in January to seven years imprisonment on charges of abuse of power while serving as national security minister in 1997- 1998 (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 22 January 2001). LF [13] NEW HUMAN RIGHTS MOVEMENT FOUNDED IN KYRGYZSTANRepresentatives of the Asaba, Ata-Meken, Erkindik, Kairan-Eland Communist parties, together with several NGOs, attended a meeting in Bishkek on 8 September to mark the foundation of the Independent Commission for Human Rights, RFE/RL's Bishkek bureau reported. Recently released Erkindik party leader Topchubek Turgunaliev was elected chairman of the commission. LF [14] MINISTER'S ASSASSINATION, BOMB BLAST CAST PALL OVER TAJIKINDEPENDENCE CELEBRATIONSTajikistan's Minister of Culture Abdurahim Rahimov was shot dead outside his home in Dushanbe early on 8 September by a lone gunman who then escaped. It was the third such killing of a senior government official so far this year (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 11 April and 18 July 2001). Law-enforcement officials described the shooting as "a terrorist act," while President Imomali Rakhmonov condemned the unknown perpetrators as "enemies of the Tajik people." On 9 September a young man was killed when a homemade bomb he was carrying exploded some 500-1,000 meters away from a stadium in Dushanbe where Rakhmonov and other senior officials were attending festivities to mark the 10th anniversary of Tajikistan's independence. LF [15] IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER CUTS SHORT VISIT TO TAJIKISTANKamal Kharrazi left Dushanbe prematurely after a 3 1/2 hourmeeting and dinner with Rakhmonov on 7 September, saying that unspecified "important matters" required his presence in Tehran, AP reported the following day. Kharrazi was to have met on 8 September with his Tajik counterpart Talbak Nazarov and to have taken part in the independence day celebrations the following day. During his 7 September meeting with Rakhmonov, the two men discussed bilateral relations and the situation in Afghanistan. LF [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE[16] EU BACKS NEW PLAN FOR MACEDONIA...Meeting in Genval,Belgium, on 9 September, EU foreign ministers endorsed a proposal by German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer to provide an armed Western presence to protect OSCE monitors after the end of NATO's Operation Essential Harvest on 26 September, RFE/RL reported (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 7 September 2001). The force could be NATO-led but would include Russian, Ukrainian, and other non-NATO forces. Fischer stressed that "we must avoid a vacuum" after NATO's arms-collection program is completed. His French counterpart Hubert Vedrine said that "we cannot purely and simply leave" after Operation Essential Harvest. Fischer noted that Macedonia faces three potential threats: a security vacuum, the rise of "a silent coalition of extremists on both sides," and an ethnic division of the small republic, Deutsche Welle reported. The ministers agreed that the mission would be part of a larger program that includes economic assistance. PM [17] ...BUT NOT ON ITS FORMThe EU foreign ministers meeting inGenval on 9 September agreed on Fischer's recommendations but did not endorse any specific operational plan, "The Independent" reported. Vedrine noted that the proposed EU security and defense "arrangements" are not "quite ready yet," and that consequently "it is more sensible, easier, and more practical to act in a NATO framework." Some EU countries -- notably Finland, Sweden, and Ireland -- feel that such a mission should also have a UN mandate, but others -- such as the U.K. -- argue that a UN-sponsored arrangement would "give a lot of people the opportunity to make mischief," meaning primarily Moscow and Beijing. Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov and Macedonian President Boris Trajkovski want a UN mandate for any new force, such as the former UNPREDEP had. On 10 September, Reuters quoted unnamed Macedonian government "sources" as saying that the government would probably yield to outside pressure and accept a long-term, foreign military presence. An international donors conference is slated for 15 October. Ethnic Albanian guerrillas insist that they trust only NATO. PM [18] PUTIN, CHIRAC DISCUSS MACEDONIAQuoting a Kremlin statement,Reuters reported from Moscow on 10 September that French President Jacques Chirac and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin discussed Macedonia in a telephone conversation. It is not clear which man initiated the contact. PM [19] MACEDONIAN ALBANIANS RETURN HOMESome 8,000 ethnic Albaniansfrom Macedonia have returned to that country from Kosova in recent days at the Blace border crossing alone, RFE/RL's South Slavic Service reported on 9 September. PM [20] MOLOTOV COCKTAIL BLASTS SERBIAN POLITICIAN'S CARUnidentified persons destroyed the car of SlobodanVuksanovic, vice president of the Movement for Democratic Serbia (PDS), with a Molotov cocktail in Belgrade on 7 September, RFE/RL's South Slavic Service reported. The DPS is part of the governing Democratic Opposition of Serbia (DOS) coalition. Serbian Interior Minister Dusan Mihajlovic said the next day that Vuksanovic had recently received telephone threats urging him to stop working with Yugoslav President Vojislav Kostunica. Mihajlovic stressed that the attack on the car of Vuksanovic, who was elsewhere at the time, is part of an ongoing campaign aimed at intimidating the public, and must be stopped. Vuksanovic is a rival of Serbian Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic. PM [21] SERBIAN AUTHORITIES FIND ANOTHER MASS GRAVESerbian policesaid in a statement on 9 September that they have found "26 unidentified bodies and body parts near Lake Perucac, not far from the town of Uzice," AP reported from Belgrade. The bodies are believed to be those of Kosova Albanians dumped in the lake from a freezer truck in 1999. An unidentified police official told the news agency that "after locals noticed floating corpses in April 1999, the bodies...were removed from the lake and transferred to a mass grave." This is but the latest in a series of grisly discoveries by the Serbian police since the ouster of former President Slobodan Milosevic in October 2000 (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 31 May 2001). PM [22] ALBANIAN PRESIDENT APPROVES NEW CABINETRexhep Meidaniformally approved the 22-member government of Prime Minister Ilir Meta in Tirana on 7 September, AP reported. The new cabinet includes four carryovers from the previous one including Interior Minister Ilir Gjoni, and Finance Minister Anastas Angjeli. Arta Dade becomes Albania's first woman foreign minister. Former Prime Minister Pandeli Majko received the defense portfolio. PM [23] ROMANIAN PREMIER EXPOUNDS ON AGREEMENT WITH IMFAdrianNastase and Neven Mates, chief IMF negotiator for Romania, on 7 September told journalists that the agreement included in the "letter of intent" agreed upon earlier that day (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 7 September 2001) provides for accelerating the privatization program, reining in salaries in the public sector, and adjusting electricity prices, AFP reported. The agreement foresees a 22 percent annual inflation rate, 5 percent economic growth, a 6 percent deficit in the current account, and a 3 percent budget deficit. Meanwhile, a study released on 7 September by the Romanian Center for Economic Policy said that 31 percent of Romania's GDP in 2000 was produced by underground economic activity. A study conducted by the UN Development Program in July estimated Romania's underground economy at between 20 and 30 percent of GDP. MS [24] ROMANIA ENDS COMMEMORATION OF UNIFYING PRINCEPresident IonIliescu, former King Michael, former President Emil Constantinescu, as well as Premier Nastase and other officials participated on 8 September in Targoviste in a ceremony to unveil an equestrian statue of Prince Michael the Brave, who briefly unified the three Romanian principalities in 1601, Romanian radio reported. The ceremony marked the ending of a series of events honoring Prince Michael on the 400th anniversary of his assassination. Iliescu said in his speech that "no one should underestimate the virtues of the Romanian people...whose historic destiny has not ended." Former King Michael called for unity among Romanians in the service of their country. MS [25] ROMANIAN OFFICIAL SAYS ROYAL RESTITUTION CLAIM IS 'NOPRIORITY'n Among the officials who attended the ceremony in Targoviste was Serban Mihailescu, secretary of the government, who told journalists that the restitution of the Peles castle to the former king "is not a priority for the government" and that the cabinet has no intention to conduct "special negotiations" with the former monarch on the castle's restitution. Mihailescu added that a special governmental office will be set up to deal with "unforeseen problems" relating to restitution claims. He said some of the property whose restitution is now demanded "has been mortgaged." MS [26] OSCE CONFERENCE ON ROMA DISCRIMINATION OPENS IN BUCHARESTAninternational conference held under OSCE auspices on the struggle against discrimination of Roma opened in Bucharest on 10 September, RFE/RL's Bucharest bureau reported. The four-day conference is being attended by some 300 participants, including nongovernmental organizations working with Roma and representatives of the community. Speaking in his capacity as OSCE rotating chairman, Foreign Minister Mircea Geoana on 9 September said the OSCE intends to "take a series of concrete measures" to improve the Roma's situation and added that solutions "necessitate an overall European approach, beyond national efforts." MS [27] ROMANIAN PREMIER SIGNALS CHANGE IN POLICY ON MOLDOVANastaseon 7 September reiterated his "dismay" at Moldova's cancellation of a tender for the sale of two Moldovan electricity companies on the grounds that one of them is heavily indebted to Ukrainian electricity suppliers and its shares may have to be taken over by the Ukrainian utility, RFE/RL's Bucharest bureau reported. Nastase said that he "wonders" whether Romania should use similar methods to ensure the payment of the $32 million Moldova owes Romania for electricity supplies. The Romanian premier said Romania has provided $3.5 million for various projects in Moldova, but does not know "where the money goes." Nastase said that from now on, priority in relations with Moldova should be on the economic aspects and particularly in bilateral collaboration between border-adjacent counties. MS [28] MOLDOVAN NEGOTIATORS IN KYIV RETURN EMPTY-HANDEDAfter fourdays of negotiations in Kyiv on the customs checkpoints established by Moldovan President Vladimir Voronin on Ukrainian territory, the Moldovan delegation headed by First Deputy Premier Dimitrii Todoroglo on 7 September returned home without having succeeded to obtain the accord of the authorities in Kyiv, RFE/RL's Chisinau bureau reported. The Ukrainian side is insisting that representatives of the separatists take part in the negotiations. A new round of parleys will be held on 11 September, also in Ukraine. Moldovan Prime Minister Vasile Tarlev earlier said that Kyiv had agreed to the joint customs posts but later ordered its customs officers to detain the Moldovan customs officials if they step on Ukrainian territory. Separatist leader Igor Smirnov on 7 September met with the Ukrainian and Russian ambassadors to Moldova as well as with the OSCE head of mission William Hill, and reiterated that Chisinau is setting up an "economic blockade" of the Transdniester by having withdrawn permission from Tiraspol to use the Moldovan customs seals. MS [29] MOLDOVAN MAJOR DISMISSED FROM JCCThe joint ControlCommission on 7 September dismissed Major Iurie Cheibas from the staff of the commission's military observers, RFE/RL's Chisinau bureau reported. Cheibas was detained on 2 September by the authorities in Tiraspol for having allegedly engaged in spying activities during the celebrations of the separatists' 11th independence anniversary. He was freed last week on "humanitarian grounds." The commission's Russian commander of the observer force said that an investigation revealed that Cheibas had left his post without the knowledge of his superiors and without their permission. Cheibas will continue to serve in the Moldovan military forces. MS [30] BULGARIAN FOREIGN MINISTER OPTIMISTIC ON NATO, EU MEMBERSHIPForeign Minister Solomon Pasi, in an interview with Reuterson 7 September, said he believes "NATO would not make the mistake of leaving the Balkans out of its future expansion." Pasi said that "Bulgaria is fully prepared for NATO membership. It acted as a de facto NATO ally during the Kosovo crisis and ever since it has acted as a functioning member of the alliance." Pasi also said that Bulgaria "has a strong intention of completing EU talks in 2004 and joining as a full member in 2006." Gaining NATO membership, he added, would bolster Bulgaria's EU accession bid. Pasi acknowledged that "Bulgaria has the image of a laggard," but said this image "has to be overcome" and that it would be "fair to recognize" that the country has "made significant progress in the past few years." He also said that it would be more "cost-effective" for the West to "invest in building infrastructure in the Balkans, rather than having to sustain numerous peacekeeping operations" as a result of ethnic conflicts that arise due to "fragmentation, bad infrastructure, and poverty." MS [31] ECUMENICAL PATRIARCH SUPPORTS EFFORTS TO MEND BULGARIANORTHODOX CHURCH CONFLICTEcumenical Patriarch Bartholomew II on 8 September joined Patriarch Maxim in saying mass in Sofia's Sveta Nedelya (St. Dominique) cathedral and said afterward that he strongly supports the Bulgarian patriarch's efforts to mend the rift in the country's Orthodox Church, AP reported. The dispute began a decade ago, when dissenting clergymen demanded that Maxim step down, accusing him of having cooperated with the communist regime. Prime Minister Simeon Saxecoburggotski attended the mass and consulted with both patriarchs after the service. AP said Saxecoburggotski's presence signals a turnaround in the government's policy toward Maxim. Former Premier Ivan Kostov was at odds with Maxim, silently supported his opponents, and refused to attend masses served by him or by prelates under his jurisdiction. MS [32] BULGARIAN MUSLIM LEADER PRAISES COUNTRY'S TOLERANCEChiefMufti Selim Mehmed, the spiritual leader of Bulgaria's Muslim community on 8 September, praised that Balkan country for its ethnic and religious tolerance amid a conflict-ridden region, AP reported. Mehmed told journalists that "against the background of everything happening in the Balkans, we, in Bulgaria, have succeeded in building a model for ethnic and religious tolerance and peace." He also said that "in contrast to other countries, Muslims in Bulgaria are widely open to the Eastern Orthodox community." At the same time, Mehmed urged the government to speed up restitution of Muslim community property. MS [33] STATUE HONORING FORMER COMMUNIST LEADER REERECTED INBULGARIASome 3,000 people on 7 September attended a ceremony for the unveiling of a statue of Bulgaria's communist leader Todor Zhivkov on what would have been his 90th birthday, AP reported. The statue was reerected on its former site in Zhivkov's birthplace in Pravets, some 60 kilometers northeast of Sofia. The monument had been dismantled at Zhivkov's own orders, after Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev embarked on the perestroika course. MS [C] END NOTE[34] CZECH REPUBLIC MOVES TO ABOLISH CONSCRIPTION, JOINS EUROPEANTRENDBy Jeremy Bransten Since the fall of the Iron Curtain a decade ago, countries across Europe have reduced the size of their armed forces from 10 percent to as much as 50 percent. Most military strategists no longer see the need for large standing armies that are capable of repelling a massive land invasion. Instead, the emphasis has shifted to having smaller, more mobile units that can be rapidly deployed in crisis situations. The Czech Republic recently became the first former Communist state in Europe to attempt to reform its armed forces along these lines when the cabinet approved a bill that will lead to a smaller, all-professional army in six years. For Dan Smith, a retired U.S. army colonel and currently head of research at the Washington-based Center for Defense Information, this shift makes perfect sense. "Peace-keeping operations, peace enforcement, humanitarian relief, the evacuation of citizens caught in areas of crises, these are missions far different from the old linear style of warfare," Smith said. "So, the premium is really on being adaptable, being able to think on one's feet and to recognize situations as they start to evolve. And again, a well-trained professional force, I think, is better- suited to these kinds of missions." British-based military analyst Charles Heyman edits Jane's World Armies, a biannual survey of global armed forces. He points to another advantage of having professional soldiers versus conscripts. "If you want to involve yourself in out-of-area operations and you want to put troops into Macedonia or Kosovo or somewhere like that, then you need volunteers and probably, the best people are professionals as opposed to conscripts," Heyman said. The new military thinking coincides with a growing reluctance among young people in Europe to serve in the military. Each year, more and more draft-age young men opt for alternative civilian service. In Spain, to cite one example, fully three quarters of those eligible for military duty now choose this option. These factors prompted Spain to announce the abolishing of conscription less than two months ago. The country's last draftees will be released from duty by the end of the year. France is to follow the same course and end conscription by November 2001. Italy will abandon its draft by the end of 2005. France's northern neighbors Belgium and the Netherlands ended compulsory service in 1992 and 1996 respectively. They in turn followed Britain's lead, which abolished conscription back in 1962. The world's leading military superpower, the United States, ended its call-up in 1973. The Czechs, it seems, have joined a well-established trend. In Western Europe, only Germany has stayed on the sidelines of the conscription debate, continuing to see the call-up as an important element of its inclusive, democratic ethos. Among the former Warsaw Pact states, the Czechs -- who are now fully fledged NATO members -- are the first to announce a definitive end to conscription. But Timothy Edmunds, a military expert at King's College in London, is not sure the Czech reform is the right course to follow. Edmunds said that NATO has been trying to sell a "one- size-fits-all" model of military reform to Central and Eastern European countries. And the post-Communist states, driven by a desire to join the alliance, have been eager to be seen to comply. "NATO, or the West in general, has a very particular model of what modern armed forces should look like and they are all-volunteer, they are professional, they are flexible, they are expeditionary and so on. And they've promoted this model very, very strongly in Central and Eastern Europe," Edmunds said. "Now, I would argue that actually, in doing so, they've not really considered the drivers and implications of change in the Central and East European region and that they've not necessarily got to grips with the facts that perhaps Central European security and defense demands are quite different to those pressures facing the UK or the United States." Although experts generally agree that in the long run having an all-professional military ends up being cheaper than a conscript army, the switch-over is costly. Edmunds said budget-conscious Central and East European states cannot meet those costs. Instead, in their attempt to meet NATO's criteria, the Czechs, Poles, Hungarians, Baltic states and others have created hybrid militaries, consisting of a few professional elite units that are sent on prestige peace-keeping missions abroad, while the bulk of the military, made up of conscripts, suffers from under-funding. Edmunds said the Czechs' announcement that they will fully switch over to the Western, all-professional model is to a large extent driven by politics rather than military or budget considerations. "Military reform has been driven by foreign policy rather than by defense policy, so to an extent you see all the military reform budget go into elite cadres that fulfill this NATO idea of what a military should look like, almost as a sort of down-payment on NATO accession and I would argue to the detriment of the ability of the military to provide a national defense role," Edmunds said. In both Eastern and Western Europe, Edmunds said there has been too little fundamental debate about what role a country's military should perform in the post-Cold-War era. The post-Communist states of Central and Eastern Europe, because of budget constraints, may have to choose between training only rapid reaction professional units, that could be farmed out to NATO for specific missions but could not assure full territorial defense, or maintaining a standing conscript army capable only of territorial defense. They will likely not be able to afford the luxury of both. Edmunds said the rapid reaction model could work, but it would require a major rethink by the alliance, whose generals, while promoting the rapid reaction model, remain wary of forsaking territorial armies. "There is beginning to be a discussion in NATO about appropriate military reform and in doing so, role specialization among the Central and East Europeans. So rather than trying to provide a traditional national army that does everything, because of shrinking defense budgets and so on, [the idea is] to try to provide a military structure and a set of military institutions that can fulfill particular roles within NATO very well and particular alliance roles very well. But I think there's still a great deal of discomfort, both within the military itself and within NATO about the idea of giving up traditional military roles." Charles Heyman, of Jane's World Armies, notes that all countries moving to smaller all-professional forces must bear in mind that in times of crisis, it is essential to be able to call on reserves. "The Czechs always have to remember that you have to have the ability to expand your army, overnight, in a crisis, in an emergency," Heyman said. In earlier days, the major crisis never came, but both sides were theoretically prepared for it. Now, small-time emergencies seem to crop up with increasing frequency but they are less predictable. And national interests have become murkier to define -- a tough brief for any military planner. Jeremy Bransten is an RFE/RL correspondent. 10-09-01 Reprinted with permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
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