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RFE/RL Newsline, Vol. 4, No. 142, 00-07-26

Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty: Newsline Directory - Previous Article - Next Article

From: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty <http://www.rferl.org>

RFE/RL NEWSLINE

Vol. 4, No. 142, 26 July 2000


CONTENTS

[A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

  • [01] ARMENIA ASSESSES POLITICAL IMPACT OF PARLIAMENT SHOOTINGS
  • [02] KARABAKH PROSECUTOR REJECTS GENERAL'S DEMAND TO BE TRIED IN
  • [03] AZERBAIJAN REJECTS U.S. CRITICISM OF ELECTION LAW AMENDMENTS
  • [04] RUSSIA BANS ENTRY TO TRUCKS FROM AZERBAIJAN
  • [05] U.S. PLEDGES SUPPORT FOR GEORGIA
  • [06] BALCEROWICZ TEAM ARRIVES IN GEORGIA
  • [07] GEORGIAN INSURGENT LEADER BURIED
  • [08] KAZAKHSTAN'S CABINET NEGOTIATES RESUMPTION OF WATER SUPPLIES
  • [09] PROSECUTOR DEMANDS EIGHT YEARS' IMPRISONMENT FOR KYRGYZ
  • [10] KYRGYZ HUMAN RIGHTS ACTIVIST ACCUSES AUTHORITIES OF
  • [11] TURKMENISTAN, UKRAINE RESOLVE GAS DEBT DISPUTE
  • [12] UZBEKISTAN SOLICITS TEXTBOOKS FOR ETHNIC MINORITIES

  • [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

  • [13] CRISIS IN SLOVENIAN GOVERNMENT
  • [14] NATO 'SENDS SIGNAL' FROM MACEDONIA
  • [15] YUGOSLAV ARMY REOPENS MONTENEGRIN-ALBANIAN FRONTIER
  • [16] NICE WORDS BUT NO PLEDGES FOR DJUKANOVIC
  • [17] SERBIAN OPPOSITION UNITED--ALMOST--FOR ELECTIONS
  • [18] FILIPOVIC DENIES 'ESPIONAGE' CHARGES
  • [19] VETERAN YUGOSLAV DIPLOMAT DIES
  • [20] KOSOVA SERBS PROTEST VOTING REGISTRATION
  • [21] TENSE ATMOSPHERE IN NORTHEAST BOSNIA
  • [22] DODIK TO RUN AS MODERATE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE
  • [23] ALBANIAN PREMIER PLEDGES CRACKDOWN ON SMUGGLING
  • [24] OPEN QUESTIONS ON ZAGREB SUMMIT
  • [25] ROMANIAN PREMIER RESPONDS TO OPPOSITION LEADER
  • [26] ROMANIAN COURT SAYS SAVINGS BANK MUST COMPENSATE INVESTORS
  • [27] HUNGARIAN POLITICIAN WARNS AGAINST UDMR'S DISMEMBERMENT
  • [28] MOLDOVAN PRESIDENT CALLS FOR EARLY PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS
  • [29] BULGARIA AMENDS LEGAL RULES TO APPEASE LIBYA

  • [C] END NOTE

  • [30] MOSCOW STEPS UP PRESSURE ON GEORGIA

  • [A] TRANSCAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA

    [01] ARMENIA ASSESSES POLITICAL IMPACT OF PARLIAMENT SHOOTINGS

    Constitutional Court Chairman Gagik Harutiunian on 25 July

    claimed that Armenia "was on the verge of chaos" following

    the shooting of eight officials in the parliament on 27

    October, RFE/RL's Yerevan bureau reported. He said that

    existing power structures proved too weak to prevent a power

    vacuum and that only fate prevented further violence. But

    Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian was more upbeat, stressing

    that subsequent political developments did not violate the

    constitutional framework. Oskanian added that the appointment

    in May of Andranik Markarian as premier marked the end of the

    "transition phase" that began with the surrender of the five

    gunmen the day after the killings as well as the "restoration

    of stability." The two men were speaking at a round table

    jointly convened by the German Embassy and the daily

    newspaper "Azg," according to Armenpress. LF

    [02] KARABAKH PROSECUTOR REJECTS GENERAL'S DEMAND TO BE TRIED IN

    ARMENIA

    The Prosecutor-General's Office of the unrecognized

    Nagorno-Karabakh Republic issued a statement on 25 July

    rejecting the demand by the enclave's former Defense Minister

    Samvel Babayan to be tried in an Armenian court, RFE/RL's

    Yerevan bureau reported. Babayan is accused of masterminding

    the 22 March attempt to assassinate Karabakh President

    Arkadii Ghukasian. The statement said Babayan's demand is at

    odds with the enclave's criminal legislation, and it said his

    claims that he was twice beaten in detention are aimed at

    disorienting the public and casting doubts on the fairness of

    the investigation. LF

    [03] AZERBAIJAN REJECTS U.S. CRITICISM OF ELECTION LAW AMENDMENTS

    Azerbaijani presidential administration official Ali Hasanov

    said on 25 July that a U.S. State Department official's

    criticism the previous day of the Azerbaijani parliament's

    amendment of the law on the Central Electoral Commission

    constitutes "an effort to strengthen cooperation between the

    authorities and the opposition," Turan reported (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 24 and 25 July 2000). But Hasanov added that the

    parliament had no choice but to enact those amendments as the

    opposition boycott of the commission's meetings had virtually

    precluded cooperation. He attributed that boycott to the

    "political ambitions" of unnamed members of the opposition

    Azerbaijan Popular Front and Azerbaijan National Independence

    Party. Siyavush Novruzov, a leading member of the ruling Yeni

    Azerbaycan party, said that to bow to the U.S. demand that

    the amendments be annulled would be tantamount to denying

    that Azerbaijan is an independent state. LF

    [04] RUSSIA BANS ENTRY TO TRUCKS FROM AZERBAIJAN

    Russian border

    guards have stopped allowing trucks from Azerbaijan to cross

    into Russian territory, Turan reported on 25 July. Some 100

    vehicles are currently stranded at the border between

    Azerbaijan and Daghestan. A senior Azerbaijani road transport

    official told the agency that the Russian side is demanding

    that all trucks entering the country be equipped with

    expensive modern tachometers that cannot be used in Soviet-

    era vehicles. LF

    [05] U.S. PLEDGES SUPPORT FOR GEORGIA

    U.S. President Bill Clinton

    has responded to a letter from his Georgian counterpart,

    Eduard Shevardnadze, by affirming support for Georgia's

    efforts to overcome its economic problems, eliminate

    corruption, and improve tax-collection, Caucasus Press

    reported on 25 July. Shevardnadze's foreign policy adviser

    Gela Charkviani said Clinton also pledged assistance in

    trying to resolve the Abkhaz conflict, according to AP.

    Interfax quoted the Georgian State Chancellery as saying that

    Clinton assured Shevardnadze that Washington is closely

    monitoring the situation in the Caucasus and the impact on

    Georgian-Russian relations of the war in Chechnya (see also

    "End Note"). LF

    [06] BALCEROWICZ TEAM ARRIVES IN GEORGIA

    Former Polish Deputy

    Premier Leszek Balcerowicz and a team of economic experts

    arrived in Georgia on 25 July, Interfax and Caucasus Press

    reported. They will undertake a preliminary study of the

    Georgian economy in preparation for Balcerowicz's assuming

    his duties as Shevardnadze's economic adviser next month.

    Speaking in Tbilisi on 24 July, former Georgian Premier

    Tengiz Sigua predicted that Balcerowicz will be hard-pressed

    to repeat in Georgia the "economic miracle" he achieved in

    Poland, Caucasus Press reported. Sigua pointed out that the

    shadow economy in Poland accounted for only 15-20 percent of

    GDP, as compared with 70 percent in Georgia. Former Georgian

    Economy Minister Lado Papava, for his part, termed

    Shevardnadze's decision to engage Balcerowicz "insulting."

    But Shevardnadze argues that Balcerowicz's acceptance of the

    post demonstrates that "Georgia is not a hopeless case." LF

    [07] GEORGIAN INSURGENT LEADER BURIED

    The family of Akaki Eliava

    buried the slain colonel on 25 July, 16 days after he died at

    the hands of Georgian security officials, Caucasus Press

    reported. Eliava's relatives had earlier said they would bury

    him only after the Georgian authorities released three of his

    lieutenants whom they apprehended on 9 July (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 19 and 24 July 2000). Eliava's supporters will

    launch mass protests if those men are not released within

    three weeks, opposition parliamentary deputy Elizbar

    Djavelidze told Caucasus Press. LF

    [08] KAZAKHSTAN'S CABINET NEGOTIATES RESUMPTION OF WATER SUPPLIES

    Water supplies from Kyrgyzstan to southern Kazakhstan have

    been resumed following talks last week between the

    governments of the two countries, Interfax reported on 25

    July. Rasul Zhumaly, who is Prime Minister Qasymzhomart

    Toqaev's press spokesman, told journalists in Astana that

    Kyrgyzstan agreed to resume water supplies in accordance with

    a bilateral agreement signed last year, while Kazakhstan in

    return will supply coal to Kyrgyzstan. It is not clear

    whether similar talks with Tajikistan were likewise

    successful (see "RFE/RL Newsline," 19 July 2000). LF

    [09] PROSECUTOR DEMANDS EIGHT YEARS' IMPRISONMENT FOR KYRGYZ

    OPPOSITION LEADER

    At the trial of opposition Ar-Namys party

    chairman Feliks Kulov, the prosecutor has demanded an eight-

    year prison sentence for the defendant, RFE/RL's Bishkek

    bureau reported on 25 July. Kulov went on trial last month by

    a closed military court on charges of abuse of his official

    position while serving in the early1990s as security

    minister. LF

    [10] KYRGYZ HUMAN RIGHTS ACTIVIST ACCUSES AUTHORITIES OF

    HARASSMENT

    Speaking at a press conference in Vienna on 25

    July, Ramazan Dyryldaev, who is chairman of the Human Rights

    Committee of Kyrgyzstan, accused the Kyrgyz authorities of

    trying to silence his organization in the runup to the 29

    October presidential poll, RFE/RL's Kyrgyz Service reported.

    The Human Rights Committee's Bishkek offices were temporarily

    sealed by police last week, trapping a committee staffer on

    the premises. Kyrgyz police last week also issued a warrant

    for Dyryldaev's arrest and detained his son Almaz (see

    "RFE/RL Newsline," 21 July 2000). International Helsinki

    Federation for Human Rights executive director Aaron Rhodes

    said the Kyrgyz authorities' move against the committee was

    unjustified. He said that neither human rights activists nor

    the media are part of the political opposition in Kyrgyzstan.

    "They're simply trying to do their jobs as professionals,

    analyzing the situation," Rhodes said. LF

    [11] TURKMENISTAN, UKRAINE RESOLVE GAS DEBT DISPUTE

    During talks

    in Ashgabat on 25 July with visiting Ukrainian Deputy Premier

    Yuliya Timoshenko, Turkmenistan's President Saparmurat

    Niyazov agreed to extend by two years the deadline for

    repayment of Kyiv's restructured debt for deliveries of

    natural gas in 1993-1994, Interfax reported. One third of the

    total $211 million debt must be paid in cash before the end

    of 2002, and the remainder in goods and services for

    Turkmenistan's oil and gas sector. In addition, before the

    end of this year Ukraine will pay $27 million out of a total

    $107 million owed to Turkmenistan by Naftohaz Ukrainy. It is

    not clear whether agreement was also reached on further

    Ukrainian purchases of Turkmen gas or when deliveries, which

    were halted in May 1999, will be resumed. LF

    [12] UZBEKISTAN SOLICITS TEXTBOOKS FOR ETHNIC MINORITIES

    The

    Uzbek cabinet has written to the Education Ministries of

    Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan

    requesting consignments of textbooks in those languages for

    use in Uzbek schools where the language of instruction is

    that of one of those countries, Interfax reported on 25 July.

    In return, Uzbekistan has offered to provide Uzbek-language

    text books for Uzbek communities in neighboring states. The

    exchange of text books is to be partly financed by foreign

    loans, including $20 million from the Asian Development Bank.

    LF


    [B] SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE

    [13] CRISIS IN SLOVENIAN GOVERNMENT

    Some 70 out of 90 legislators

    voted on 25 July to keep a proportional system of voting in

    the parliamentary elections due in the fall. Voting for the

    proportional system were the opposition parties and the

    leading partner in the governing coalition, the People's

    Party (SLS/SDK). Prime Minister Andrej Bajuk, who is himself

    a member of the SLS/SDK, Janez Jansa's conservative Social

    Democrats, and the small National Party favored a majority

    voting system. Representatives of the two governing parties

    met the next day and agreed that their coalition agreement is

    dead, Reuters reported. The Social Democrats' spokeswoman

    accused the SLS/SDK of violating the coalition pact, which,

    she said, called for a "winner-take-all" majority voting

    system. She added, however, that the coalition will continue

    in office until the fall, stressing that "the main task of

    the...government is to continue Slovenia's preparations for

    [joining] the European Union, and this should not depend upon

    problems in internal politics." PM

    [14] NATO 'SENDS SIGNAL' FROM MACEDONIA

    NATO's Supreme Commander

    Europe U.S. General Joseph Ralston visited three Macedonian

    army barracks on the border with Serbia on 25 July, dpa

    reported. He said that "it is important to send the signal to

    neighboring countries that Macedonia is tied to the

    [Atlantic] alliance." After meeting with President Boris

    Trajkovski and Defense Minister Nikola Kljusev, he pledged

    that NATO will do all it can to secure the border between

    Macedonia and Kosova, where there have been several incidents

    since the beginning of 2000. Ralston added that he expects

    "the Macedonian military to do the same" as NATO in guarding

    the frontier. PM

    [15] YUGOSLAV ARMY REOPENS MONTENEGRIN-ALBANIAN FRONTIER

    Federal

    troops pulled back to their former positions after briefly

    closing the Bozaj frontier between Albania and Podgorica,

    RFE/RL's South Slavic Service reported on 25 July (see

    "RFE/RL Newsline," 25 July 2000). An unspecified number of

    Albanian citizens have meanwhile entered Montenegro without

    visas. In Belgrade, both houses of the federal parliament

    approved a hike of up to 50 percent in the sales tax to

    benefit the army. PM

    [16] NICE WORDS BUT NO PLEDGES FOR DJUKANOVIC

    German Foreign

    Minister Joschka Fischer said in Berlin on 25 July that his

    government supports moves by Montenegrin President Milo

    Djukanovic aimed at promoting democracy and market reforms.

    Fischer did not, however, make any concrete promises of

    assistance for his guest. For his part, Djukanovic pledged to

    avoid provoking Milosevic or doing anything that could lead

    to a new conflict. PM

    [17] SERBIAN OPPOSITION UNITED--ALMOST--FOR ELECTIONS

    Representatives of most leading opposition parties agreed in

    Belgrade on 25 July to accept the recommendations of a

    committee of experts that they run joint lists of candidates

    in the local elections widely expected in the fall. The

    parties will decide whether to take part in the federal

    legislative and presidential elections after they meet with

    the Montenegrin leadership in the coming week, RFE/RL's South

    Slavic Service reported. Democratic Party leader Zoran

    Djindjic argued that Milosevic fears elections. Some

    observers suggested that Milosevic wants a vote shortly

    before a fresh round of hyperinflation sets in. Vuk

    Draskovic's Serbian Renewal Movement, which is the largest

    single opposition party, did not take part in the talks.

    Draskovic said in Athens that he refuses to give legitimacy

    to Milosevic's recent constitutional changes by taking part

    in the elections. On 26 July, "Blic" published the results of

    a recent poll suggesting that a united opposition could

    defeat Milosevic and his coalition. PM

    [18] FILIPOVIC DENIES 'ESPIONAGE' CHARGES

    The attorney for

    journalist Miroslav Filipovic entered a plea of not guilty

    for his client in a Nis military court on 25 July (see

    "RFE/RL Newsline," 25 July 2000). Among other things,

    Filipovic is charged with "spreading false information" by

    writing an article about atrocities committed by Serbian

    forces in Kosova in 1999. PM

    [19] VETERAN YUGOSLAV DIPLOMAT DIES

    The funeral took place in

    Belgrade on 25 July of communist-era diplomat Dusan Strbac,

    "Danas" reported. During his long career, Strbac served as

    ambassador to the U.S. and to Italy and was given a top-level

    posting in Moscow. PM

    [20] KOSOVA SERBS PROTEST VOTING REGISTRATION

    Several hundred

    Serbs demonstrated in Leposaviq on 25 July against the OSCE's

    recent voter registration drive as well as against the

    elections slated for the fall (see "RFR/RL Newsline," 25 July

    2000). AP reported that some Serbs in Leposaviq had wanted to

    register but that they were intimidated by pro-Belgrade hard-

    liners. PM

    [21] TENSE ATMOSPHERE IN NORTHEAST BOSNIA

    Tensions continued in

    Janja on 26 July following a series of incidents between

    Serbs and returning Muslim residents. At least 10 people have

    been injured in the incidents in recent days, AP reported. PM

    [22] DODIK TO RUN AS MODERATE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

    Prime

    Minister Milorad Dodik will be the candidate of his

    Independent Social Democrats in the upcoming elections for

    Republika Srpska president. The moderate Sloga (Concord)

    coalition is expected to support him, RFE/RL's South Slavic

    Service reported on 25 July. PM

    [23] ALBANIAN PREMIER PLEDGES CRACKDOWN ON SMUGGLING

    Ilir Meta

    said in a letter to Italian Prime Minister Giuliano Amato on

    25 July that his government will enact tougher legislation

    against smugglers operating between the two countries. The

    previous day, two Italian policemen were killed when an

    Albanian smuggler rammed his ship into the policemen's patrol

    boat. The incident has provoked outrage in Italy, where many

    consider Albania a source of crime, smuggling, and illegal

    immigrants, Reuters reported. Amato is due to visit Tirana on

    28 July. PM

    [24] OPEN QUESTIONS ON ZAGREB SUMMIT

    The EU's fall Balkan summit

    will include all former Yugoslav republics that have or

    aspire to have a Stabilization and Association Agreement with

    Brussels, RFE/RL's South Slavic Service reported. These are

    Bosnia, Croatia, and Macedonia as well as neighboring

    Albania. It is not clear whether Montenegro or the Serbian

    opposition will be invited and, if so, in what capacity.

    Slovenia has expressed interest in attending, as have some

    other neighboring countries that are not EU members. PM

    [25] ROMANIAN PREMIER RESPONDS TO OPPOSITION LEADER

    Prime

    Minister Mugur Isarescu, responding to a letter addressed

    to him by former President Ion Iliescu (see "RFE/RL

    Newsline," 25 July 2000), said on 25 July that postponing

    parliamentary elections "was not his idea, nor did he

    express support for it," government spokeswoman Gabriela

    Vranceanu-Firea told journalists, according to Mediafax. MS

    [26] ROMANIAN COURT SAYS SAVINGS BANK MUST COMPENSATE INVESTORS

    A Bucharest court on 25 July ruled that the state-owned

    savings bank CEC must compensate investors who lost savings

    when the national Investment Fund collapsed. CEC had

    guaranteed investments in the fund but after the collapse

    claimed that the guarantee was invalid because it carried

    the signature only of its former manager, instead of two

    managers, as required by existing regulations. Former

    manager Camenco Petrovici is being held for questioning.

    The court did not specify the amount of compensation for

    the 3 trillion lei ($150 million) lost by investors owing

    to the fund's collapse. CEC has 15 days to appeal the

    ruling. MS

    [27] HUNGARIAN POLITICIAN WARNS AGAINST UDMR'S DISMEMBERMENT

    Laszlo Koever, chairman of Hungary's ruling FIDESZ party,

    on 24 July warned against the possible dismemberment of the

    Hungarian Democratic Federation of Romania (UDMR) as a

    result of the internal strife between the "radical" and the

    "moderate" wings of the party, Mediafax reported. Speaking

    at the opening meeting of the 11th annual session of the

    traditional "Balvanyos Summer University" in Baile Tusnad,

    Koever said the UDMR's unity must be preserved, and he

    criticized those "ready to wage deadly wars" within the

    party, regardless of the "enormous damage" such conflicts

    inflict on the Magyar community in Romania. He said the

    internal conflicts in the UDMR serve "neither the interest

    of the [Hungarian] government nor those of the [Hungarian]

    minority," but he added that UDMR's problems cannot be

    solved by the Hungarian cabinet or by FIDESZ. MS

    [28] MOLDOVAN PRESIDENT CALLS FOR EARLY PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS

    Speaking on television on 24 July, Petru Lucinschi said a

    possible way out of the present constitutional impasse is

    for the parliament to agree to early elections and leave

    the next legislature to decide what happens to his

    initiative on increasing the presidential powers. Lucinschi

    called on lawmakers "to be men" and let the electorate

    decide whether it agrees to their decision to change the

    Moldovan system from a semipresidential to a parliamentary

    one. He said the parliament cannot disregard the results of

    the non-binding referendum of 23 May 1999, in which 769,000

    Moldovans backed his initiative to change the system into a

    full-fledged presidential one. MS

    [29] BULGARIA AMENDS LEGAL RULES TO APPEASE LIBYA

    Bulgaria on

    25 July amended the bar law to allow foreign lawyers to

    defend their compatriots in Bulgarian courts, Reuters

    reported. The amendment went into effect immediately. A

    Libyan court last week ruled that a Bulgarian lawyer could

    take part in the defense of the six Bulgarian nationals on

    trial in Libya only if Libyan lawyers were allowed to

    defend fellow nationals in Bulgarian courts. Defense lawyer

    Vladimir Sheitanov told Reuters he "hopes the Libyan side

    will appreciate this good-will gesture and respond by

    allowing me to represent my clients in court." The six

    Bulgarians, whose trial will resume in September, are

    charged with willfully infecting children in a Benghazi

    hospital with the HIV virus. If found guilty, they are

    likely to face the death sentence. MS


    [C] END NOTE

    [30] MOSCOW STEPS UP PRESSURE ON GEORGIA

    by Paul Goble

    An article in a Russian government newspaper

    suggests that Moscow may be preparing to launch a new

    campaign to force Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze

    to become more cooperative with the Russian Federation.

    The Russian military newspaper "Krasnaya zvezda" on

    25 July sharply criticized the Georgian government for

    allowing a Chechen information center to operate in

    Tbilisi, a story picked up and given broader circulation

    by the ITAR-TASS news agency. The newspaper said that

    Moscow had officially protested the existence of this

    center but that Georgia had ignored Russia's demand that

    the Chechen center be closed.

    This Russian complaint is part of a broader effort

    by Moscow to seek the closure of pro-Chechen

    organizations around the world. In the last few weeks

    alone, the Russian authorities have criticized Ukraine,

    the U.S. and other countries for allowing unofficial

    Chechen representations to operate in their capitals.

    Indeed, Russian criticism of Tbilisi on this point

    appears to be part of a larger campaign--some of it in

    public, like the latest Moscow article, and some of it

    through diplomatic channels--against the independent

    approach Shevardnadze has shown in his dealings with

    Moscow and the Russian-sponsored Commonwealth of

    Independent States.

    Since returning to Georgia in 1992, Shevardnadze

    has sought closer relations with the West, something

    many in Moscow view as an effort to distance his country

    from Russia. He has also promoted pipeline routes like

    Baku-Ceyhan and organizations like GUUAM (a trade and

    security grouping comprising Georgia, Ukraine,

    Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova), both of which

    Moscow opposes and has tried to disrupt.

    Diplomats who have met with Shevardnadze since the

    last CIS summit in Moscow say that he has sometimes

    appeared shaken by the new harder line taken by Russian

    President Vladimir Putin. A confirmation of that may be

    the apparent rush of the Georgian president to appear

    more agreeable with Moscow. Earlier this week, for

    example, Shevardnadze categorically rejected Russian

    media reports that $34 million had passed through

    Chechen missions in Georgia and elsewhere to anti-Moscow

    Chechen fighters. He went out of his way to say that

    Russia is acting "absolutely correctly and without

    delay" in its efforts "to strengthen the border," noting

    that Georgia, too, is working to strengthen security

    along that frontier. The OSCE recently deployed several

    dozen observers along that border.

    Shevardnadze's remarks come on the heels of three

    other developments that appear to be part of a new

    Russian campaign against him. First and perhaps most

    significant, an extraordinary congress of the People's

    Patriotic Union of Georgia last weekend called for the

    creation of "a fraternal and equal union between Georgia

    and Russia." This group, which unites 18 left-wing

    parties and groups in Georgia, issued an appeal to Putin

    saying that "in the fraternal constellation of a new

    union, Georgia will be able to restore its virtually

    lost independence and territorial integrity and revive

    the country's economy."

    Such appeals parallel those already made by

    Armenian groups seeking to pressure Yerevan into joining

    the Russia-Belarus Union and appear to reflect a Russian

    effort to intervene in Georgian domestic politics.

    Second, Putin used his meetings in Central Asia

    earlier this month to put pressure on Tashkent to devote

    more attention to the CIS than to GUUAM, a shift that

    calls into question Shevardnadze's regional policies and

    leaves him and his country potentially more isolated.

    And third, Moscow appears to be dragging its feet

    on the withdrawal of some of its military bases from

    Georgia under the terms of the OSCE accords signed in

    Istanbul in 1999. While Georgian officials last week

    claimed that talks between the U.S. and Russia were

    "successful" in arranging American financing for the

    withdrawal, Russian agencies said that the talks did not

    "yield results."

    Shevardnadze has long sought the removal of Russian

    forces from Georgia, but Moscow has been less interested

    in such a move. By creating difficulties in these talks

    with Washington, Moscow can put additional pressure on

    Tbilisi to accept a greater and longer Russian presence

    on Georgian territory than it might otherwise be willing

    to agree to.

    Indeed, the visit to Tbilisi last week by Colonel

    General Vitalii Gritsan, the head of the coordinating

    service of the CIS border guards departments, may have

    been intended to signal Russia's interest in continued

    involvement in bilateral cooperation with Georgian

    units. While Moscow's immediate target of this campaign

    is Shevardnadze, the Russian leadership clearly intends

    its treatment of the independent-minded Georgian leader

    as an object lesson for other governments in the region.

    But past Russian efforts of this kind suggest that

    Moscow may generate a backlash not only in Georgia but

    elsewhere, leading Shevardnadze to revive his efforts to

    gain greater Western support and other regional leaders

    to look outward as well.

    26-07-00


    Reprinted with permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
    URL: http://www.rferl.org


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